Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024511 0.026458 0.028488 0.030764 0.033248 0.035878 0.038876
2025-11-30 0.021143 0.023911 0.026951 0.030547 0.034692 0.039334 0.044940
2025-12-07 0.018936 0.022164 0.025849 0.030383 0.035834 0.042204 0.050250
2025-12-14 0.017252 0.020756 0.024882 0.030126 0.036649 0.044546 0.054898
2025-12-21 0.016072 0.019797 0.024302 0.030191 0.037738 0.047160 0.059928
2025-12-28 0.014984 0.018840 0.023614 0.030008 0.038422 0.049220 0.064292
2026-01-04 0.014116 0.018081 0.023094 0.029962 0.039220 0.051406 0.068889
2026-01-11 0.013425 0.017493 0.022739 0.030074 0.040189 0.053825 0.073901
2026-01-18 0.012787 0.016927 0.022361 0.030109 0.041019 0.056059 0.078749
2026-01-25 0.012277 0.016495 0.022128 0.030308 0.042060 0.058610 0.084176
2026-02-01 0.011639 0.015848 0.021557 0.029986 0.042319 0.060031 0.087989
2026-02-08 0.011009 0.015178 0.020914 0.029513 0.042313 0.061036 0.091199
2026-02-15 0.010514 0.014693 0.020532 0.029436 0.042940 0.063095 0.096308
2026-02-22 0.010003 0.014161 0.020058 0.029198 0.043314 0.064802 0.101000
2026-03-01 0.009556 0.013697 0.019656 0.029038 0.043784 0.066664 0.106052
2026-03-08 0.009122 0.013229 0.019219 0.028792 0.044093 0.068273 0.110768
2026-03-15 0.008801 0.012913 0.018992 0.028854 0.044881 0.070678 0.116977
2026-03-22 0.008445 0.012525 0.018633 0.028680 0.045268 0.072433 0.122161
2026-03-29 0.008144 0.012208 0.018366 0.028636 0.045856 0.074542 0.128097
2026-04-05 0.007899 0.011965 0.018201 0.028743 0.046693 0.077111 0.135031
2026-04-12 0.007653 0.011707 0.018000 0.028776 0.047398 0.079480 0.141749
2026-04-19 0.007455 0.011518 0.017898 0.028965 0.048377 0.082377 0.149658
2026-04-26 0.007165 0.011167 0.017517 0.028659 0.048464 0.083671 0.154559